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Lyn vs Strommen Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 9 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 15:00

Lyn

PPG 0.00 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Strommen

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.0 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-13.7%0-23.7%0-32.5%0-4+2.0%1 1-03.6%1-17.3%1-27.4%1-35.0%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.6%2-17.2%2-27.3%2-34.9%2-4+4.0%3 3-02.4%3-14.8%3-24.9%3-33.3%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-01.9%4+-13.8%4+-23.8%4+-32.6%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.9% 59.5% 1.68 -34.6%

Draw 24.1% 26.0% 3.85 -4.3%

Away win 37.0% 24.4% 4.10 +51.7%

Over 2.5 63.9% 64.5% 1.55 -0.9%

Over 3.5 57.0% 42.0% 2.38 +35.7%

BTTS 63.0% 65.4% 1.53 -3.6%

Home O1.5 59.1% 63.7% 1.57 -7.2%

Away O1.5 60.1% 37.7% 2.65 +59.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob63.0%

A 37% / xG 2.0-2.0 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.3%

#2 1–2 7.4%

#3 2–2 7.3%

#4 2–1 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lyn2.0

Strommen2.0

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 57.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LYN · PPG 0.00

STROMMEN · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Lyn (H) 38.9%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -34.6%

Draw 24.1%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -4.3%

Strommen (A) 37.0%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +51.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lyn face Strommen in Norway - 1. Division on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lyn a 39% chance, the draw 24% and Strommen 37%, so Lyn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Lyn and 2.0 for Strommen (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lyn are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 1.00 for Strommen. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +81.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Lyn vs Strommen Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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