Today / Norway - 1. Division / Hodd vs Egersund

Hodd vs Egersund Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 9 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 15:00

Hodd

PPG 1.75 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Egersund

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.3% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.2%0-110.8%0-27.1%0-33.1%0-4+1.4%1 1-09.7%1-112.8%1-28.4%1-33.7%1-4+1.6%2 2-05.7%2-17.5%2-25.0%2-32.2%2-4+1.0%3 3-02.3%3-13.0%3-22.0%3-30.9%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.1%4+-20.7%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.9% 32.3% 3.10 +11.3%

Draw 27.3% 29.0% 3.45 -3.5%

Away win 36.8% 48.8% 2.05 -24.6%

Over 2.5 47.6% 59.9% 1.67 -20.5%

Over 3.5 24.2% 37.0% 2.70 -20.8%

BTTS 52.3% 64.5% 1.55 -18.9%

Home O1.5 33.0% 40.8% 2.45 -19.1%

Away O1.5 38.0% 54.1% 1.85 -29.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 18%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob52.3%

A 37% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 48% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 8.2%

#3 0–1 10.8%

#4 1–2 8.4%

#5 1–0 9.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hodd1.2

Egersund1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 47.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.2%

Form & verdict PPG

HODD · PPG 1.75

EGERSUND · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Hodd (H) 35.9%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV +11.3%

Draw 27.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -3.5%

Egersund (A) 36.8%

ODDS 2.05 · IMPLIED 48.8% EV -24.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hodd face Egersund in Norway - 1. Division on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hodd a 36% chance, the draw 27% and Egersund 37%, so Egersund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Hodd and 1.3 for Egersund (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hodd are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Egersund. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +11.3%. This match finished 3-1.

Hodd vs Egersund Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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