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VfL Vichttal vs Siegburger Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 28 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 13:30

VfL Vichttal

PPG 2.33 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Siegburger

PPG 2.69 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.0%0-15.6%0-25.3%0-33.3%0-4+2.3%1 1-04.9%1-19.2%1-28.6%1-35.3%1-4+3.8%2 2-04.0%2-17.5%2-27.0%2-34.4%2-4+3.1%3 3-02.2%3-14.1%3-23.8%3-32.4%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-01.3%4+-12.4%4+-22.3%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.1% — — —

Draw 23.7% — — —

Away win 41.2% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 46.4% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 48.6% — — —

Away O1.5 55.7% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob62.5%

A 41% / xG 1.6-1.9 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.2%

#2 1–2 8.6%

#3 2–1 7.5%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 1–3 5.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VfL Vichttal1.6

Siegburger1.9

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 46.4%

Form & verdict PPG

VFL VICHTTAL · PPG 2.33

SIEGBURGER · PPG 2.69

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: EXCELLENT (2.33) vs Away EXCELLENT (2.69)

Win probability 1X2

VfL Vichttal (H) 35.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 23.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Siegburger (A) 41.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VfL Vichttal face Siegburger in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VfL Vichttal a 35% chance, the draw 24% and Siegburger 41%, so Siegburger are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for VfL Vichttal and 1.9 for Siegburger (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VfL Vichttal are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.69 for Siegburger. This match finished 3-2.

VfL Vichttal vs Siegburger Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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