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Hennef vs Teutonia Weiden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 28 ·Monday, May 25, 2026, 13:00

Hennef

PPG 1.54 · HOME

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Teutonia Weiden

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.54) vs P(Home)=59.0%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.3%0-21.4%0-30.5%0-4+0.2%1 1-05.3%1-16.3%1-23.8%1-31.5%1-4+0.6%2 2-07.3%2-18.7%2-25.2%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.7%3-18.0%3-24.8%3-31.9%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-09.0%4+-110.8%4+-26.4%4+-32.6%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 59.0% — — —

Draw 20.6% — — —

Away win 20.3% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 55.6% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 76.1% — — —

Away O1.5 33.5% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)2.8 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 59% / xG 2.8-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.7%

#2 3–1 8.0%

#3 2–0 7.3%

#4 1–1 6.3%

#5 3–0 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hennef2.8

Teutonia Weiden1.2

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 55.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HENNEF · PPG 1.54

TEUTONIA WEIDEN · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.54) vs P(Home)=59.0%

Win probability 1X2

Hennef (H) 59.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Teutonia Weiden (A) 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Hennef face Teutonia Weiden in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Monday, May 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hennef a 59% chance, the draw 21% and Teutonia Weiden 20%, so Hennef are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.8 for Hennef and 1.2 for Teutonia Weiden (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hennef are averaging 1.54 points per game versus 0.67 for Teutonia Weiden. This match finished 4-1.

Hennef vs Teutonia Weiden Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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