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Vitória BA W vs Cruzeiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 12 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 18:00

Vitória BA W

PPG 0.33 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Cruzeiro W

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.7%0-19.9%0-213.4%0-312.1%0-4+15.7%1 1-02.2%1-16.0%1-28.1%1-37.3%1-4+9.4%2 2-00.7%2-11.8%2-22.4%2-32.2%2-4+2.8%3 3-00.1%3-10.4%3-20.5%3-30.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.1%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 10.5% — —

Draw 21.9% — —

Away win 67.6% — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — —

Over 3.5 42.1% — —

BTTS 48.7% — —

Win probability 1X2

Vitória BA W (H) 10.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Cruzeiro W (A) 67.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 51%

BTTS 60%

Score Hit 46%

ROI -67.8%

Bet Hit 17%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 4 51%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)0.6 xG (away)2.7 BTTS prob48.7%

A 68% / xG 0.6-2.7 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 13.4%

#2 0–3 12.1%

#3 0–1 9.9%

#4 0–4 8.1%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vitória BA W0.6

Cruzeiro W2.7

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.1%

Form & verdict PPG

VITÓRIA BA W · PPG 0.33

CRUZEIRO W · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: AVERAGE form (1.40) vs Home POOR (0.33)

Match Preview & Prediction

Vitória BA W face Cruzeiro W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vitória BA W a 11% chance, the draw 22% and Cruzeiro W 68%, so Cruzeiro W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.6 for Vitória BA W and 2.7 for Cruzeiro W (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vitória BA W are averaging 0.33 points per game versus 1.40 for Cruzeiro W. This match finished 2-2.

Vitória BA W vs Cruzeiro W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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