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Sao Paulo W vs Juventude W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Regular Season - 11 ·Monday, May 18, 2026, 23:00

Sao Paulo W

PPG 2.40 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

Juventude W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=51.3%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-015.5%0-18.5%0-22.3%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-020.4%1-111.2%1-23.1%1-30.6%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.5%2-17.4%2-22.0%2-30.4%2-4+0.1%3 3-05.9%3-13.2%3-20.9%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-11.4%4+-20.4%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.3% — — —

Draw 27.4% — — —

Away win 21.3% — — —

Over 2.5 35.0% — — —

Over 3.5 11.9% — — —

BTTS 46.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 36 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -30.5%

Bet Hit 42%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 46%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.5 BTTS prob46.2%

H 51% / xG 1.3-0.5 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0✓ 20.4%

#2 0–0 15.5%

#3 2–0 13.5%

#4 1–1 11.2%

#5 2–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sao Paulo W1.3

Juventude W0.5

COMBINED 1.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 11.9%

Form & verdict PPG

SAO PAULO W · PPG 2.40

JUVENTUDE W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=51.3%

Win probability 1X2

Sao Paulo W (H) 51.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Juventude W (A) 21.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sao Paulo W face Juventude W in Brazil - Brasileiro Women on Monday, May 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sao Paulo W a 51% chance, the draw 27% and Juventude W 21%, so Sao Paulo W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Sao Paulo W and 0.5 for Juventude W (1.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sao Paulo W are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.00 for Juventude W. This match finished 1-0.

Sao Paulo W vs Juventude W Prediction— Brazil - Brasileiro Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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