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Eker Orebro vs Sleipner Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 9 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 14:00

Eker Orebro

PPG 1.00 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Sleipner

PPG 2.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 64.9% vs bookmaker-implied 57.8% — a clear edge.

+12.3% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.8%0-15.0%0-27.0%0-36.6%0-4+9.2%1 1-02.2%1-16.1%1-28.6%1-38.0%1-4+11.2%2 2-01.3%2-13.7%2-25.2%2-34.9%2-4+6.8%3 3-00.5%3-11.5%3-22.1%3-32.0%3-4+2.8%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.8%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 13.8% 27.4% 3.65 -29.8%

Draw 21.3% 25.0% 4.00 -8.9%

Away win 64.9% 57.8% 1.73 +12.3%

Over 2.5 63.9% 71.4% 1.40 -10.5%

Over 3.5 57.2% 50.0% 2.00 +14.4%

BTTS 59.7% 71.4% 1.40 -16.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -7.4%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 72%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob59.7%

A 65% / xG 1.2-2.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.6%

#2 1–3 8.0%

#3 0–2 7.0%

#4 1–1 6.1%

#5 0–3 6.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eker Orebro1.2

Sleipner2.8

COMBINED 4.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 57.2%

Form & verdict PPG

EKER OREBRO · PPG 1.00

SLEIPNER · PPG 2.25

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.25) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Eker Orebro (H) 13.8%

ODDS 3.65 · IMPLIED 27.4% EV -29.8%

Draw 21.3%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -8.9%

Sleipner (A) 64.9%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV +12.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eker Orebro face Sleipner in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eker Orebro a 14% chance, the draw 21% and Sleipner 65%, so Sleipner are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Eker Orebro and 2.8 for Sleipner (4.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eker Orebro are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.25 for Sleipner. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.4%. This match finished 3-2.

Eker Orebro vs Sleipner Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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