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Traef vs Pors Grenland Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 8 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 12:00

Traef

PPG 1.75 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Pors Grenland

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 67.6%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.4%0-16.8%0-23.1%0-31.0%0-4+0.3%1 1-012.5%1-111.5%1-25.3%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.5%2-19.6%2-24.4%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-05.9%3-15.4%3-22.5%3-30.8%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.6%4+-13.3%4+-21.5%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% 59.5% 1.68 -13.7%

Draw 25.3% 25.3% 3.95 -0.0%

Away win 23.3% 25.3% 3.95 -4.8%

Over 2.5 52.6% 67.6% 1.48 -22.1%

Over 3.5 26.3% 45.5% 2.20 -25.3%

BTTS 51.6% 67.6% 1.48 -23.6%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob51.6%

H 51% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 1–0 12.5%

#3 2–0 10.5%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Traef1.7

Pors Grenland0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 26.3%

Form & verdict PPG

TRAEF · PPG 1.75

PORS GRENLAND · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.75), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Traef (H) 51.4%

ODDS 1.68 · IMPLIED 59.5% EV -13.7%

Draw 25.3%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -0.0%

Pors Grenland (A) 23.3%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -4.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Traef face Pors Grenland in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Traef a 51% chance, the draw 25% and Pors Grenland 23%, so Traef are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Traef and 0.9 for Pors Grenland (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Traef are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 2.00 for Pors Grenland. This match finished 3-3.

Traef vs Pors Grenland Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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