Today / Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana / D. Armenio vs Dock Sud

D. Armenio vs Dock Sud Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Regular Season - 17 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 18:30

D. Armenio

PPG 1.17 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

Dock Sud

PPG 0.86 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-016.9%0-117.1%0-28.7%0-32.9%0-4+0.9%1 1-012.9%1-113.1%1-26.6%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-04.9%2-15.0%2-22.5%2-30.9%2-4+0.3%3 3-01.3%3-11.3%3-20.6%3-30.2%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.3%4+-20.1%4+-30.0%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 28.1% 43.5% 2.30 -21.2%

Draw 34.3% 36.4% 2.75 -5.7%

Away win 37.5% 29.9% 3.35 +25.6%

Over 2.5 35.0% 32.3% 3.10 +8.5%

Over 3.5 10.5% 14.3% 7.00 -15.9%

BTTS 46.2% 41.7% 2.40 +10.9%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 96 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 63%

ROI 21.9%

Bet Hit 58%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 54%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob46.2%

D 34% / xG 0.8-1.0 / U2.5 35% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 16.9%

#2 0–1 17.1%

#3 1–1✓ 13.1%

#4 1–0 12.9%

#5 0–2 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

D. Armenio0.8

Dock Sud1.0

COMBINED 1.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 35.0% · O3.5 PROB 10.5%

Form & verdict PPG

D. ARMENIO · PPG 1.17

DOCK SUD · PPG 0.86

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.17) > Away POOR (0.86)

Win probability 1X2

D. Armenio (H) 28.1%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV -21.2%

Draw 34.3%

ODDS 2.75 · IMPLIED 36.4% EV -5.7%

Dock Sud (A) 37.5%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV +25.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

D. Armenio face Dock Sud in Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives D. Armenio a 28% chance, the draw 34% and Dock Sud 38%, so Dock Sud are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for D. Armenio and 1.0 for Dock Sud (1.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 46% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, D. Armenio are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 0.86 for Dock Sud. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +25.6%. This match finished 1-1.

D. Armenio vs Dock Sud Prediction— Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana

Match Preview & Prediction

More Argentina - Primera B Metropolitana Predictions