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Stalowa Wola vs Jastrzebie Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 33 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 16:00

Stalowa Wola

PPG 1.44 · HOME

UPCOMING

Jastrzebie

PPG 0.19 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.44), Away POOR (0.19) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.9%0-12.4%0-20.8%0-30.2%0-4+0.0%1 1-010.1%1-16.4%1-22.0%1-30.4%1-4+0.1%2 2-013.3%2-18.4%2-22.7%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.6%3-17.3%3-22.3%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-014.2%4+-19.0%4+-22.9%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 68.1% — — —

Draw 22.7% — — —

Away win 9.2% — — —

Over 2.5 61.4% — — —

Over 3.5 40.9% — — —

BTTS 49.2% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 0 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob49.2%

H 68% / xG 2.6-0.6 / O2.5 61% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 13.3%

#2 3–0 11.6%

#3 1–0 10.1%

#4 2–1 8.4%

#5 4–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Stalowa Wola2.6

Jastrzebie0.6

COMBINED 3.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.4% · O3.5 PROB 40.9%

Form & verdict PPG

STALOWA WOLA · PPG 1.44

JASTRZEBIE · PPG 0.19

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in AVERAGE form (1.44), Away POOR (0.19) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Stalowa Wola (H) 68.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Jastrzebie (A) 9.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Stalowa Wola face Jastrzebie in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Stalowa Wola a 68% chance, the draw 23% and Jastrzebie 9%, so Stalowa Wola are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Stalowa Wola and 0.6 for Jastrzebie (3.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Stalowa Wola are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 0.19 for Jastrzebie.

Stalowa Wola vs Jastrzebie Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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