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Warta Poznan vs Resovia Rzeszow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:30

Warta Poznan

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Resovia Rzeszow

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.6 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 53.4% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-17.0%0-23.4%0-31.1%0-4+0.3%1 1-011.8%1-111.6%1-25.7%1-31.9%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.8%2-19.6%2-24.7%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-05.4%3-15.3%3-22.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-03.3%4+-13.2%4+-21.6%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 52.3% 66.7% 1.50 -21.6%

Draw 24.5% 25.0% 4.00 -1.2%

Away win 23.2% 21.1% 4.75 +6.1%

Over 2.5 53.4% 63.7% 1.57 -16.2%

Over 3.5 31.4% 44.4% 2.25 -29.3%

BTTS 53.2% 64.5% 1.55 -17.5%

Home O1.5 49.6% 63.7% 1.57 -22.1%

Away O1.5 25.8% 36.4% 2.75 -17.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 34%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob53.2%

H 52% / xG 1.7-1.0 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.6%

#2 1–0 11.8%

#3 2–0 9.8%

#4 2–1 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Warta Poznan1.7

Resovia Rzeszow1.0

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.4% · O3.5 PROB 31.4%

Form & verdict PPG

WARTA POZNAN · PPG 2.00

RESOVIA RZESZOW · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=52.3%

Win probability 1X2

Warta Poznan (H) 52.3%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -21.6%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV -1.2%

Resovia Rzeszow (A) 23.2%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV +6.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Warta Poznan face Resovia Rzeszow in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Warta Poznan a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Resovia Rzeszow 23%, so Warta Poznan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Warta Poznan and 1.0 for Resovia Rzeszow (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Warta Poznan are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.06 for Resovia Rzeszow. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +6.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Warta Poznan vs Resovia Rzeszow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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