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Hutnik Krakow vs Stalowa Wola Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:30

Hutnik Krakow

PPG 1.81 · HOME

0 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Stalowa Wola

PPG 1.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.3% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.3%0-18.6%0-25.0%0-32.0%0-4+0.7%1 1-010.6%1-112.4%1-27.3%1-32.8%1-4+1.1%2 2-07.6%2-18.9%2-25.2%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-03.7%3-14.3%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-12.1%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 42.5% 35.1% 2.85 +21.1%

Draw 26.2% 29.0% 3.45 -5.8%

Away win 31.3% 47.6% 2.10 -34.3%

Over 2.5 53.5% 62.5% 1.60 -14.4%

Over 3.5 31.8% 38.2% 2.62 -16.7%

BTTS 55.3% 63.7% 1.57 -13.2%

Home O1.5 42.3% 42.0% 2.38 +0.7%

Away O1.5 32.7% 54.6% 1.83 -40.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.3%

H 42% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0 7.3%

#3 2–1 8.9%

#4 1–0 10.6%

#5 2–0 7.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Hutnik Krakow1.4

Stalowa Wola1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.5% · O3.5 PROB 31.8%

Form & verdict PPG

HUTNIK KRAKOW · PPG 1.81

STALOWA WOLA · PPG 1.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.81) > Away AVERAGE (1.06)

Win probability 1X2

Hutnik Krakow (H) 42.5%

ODDS 2.85 · IMPLIED 35.1% EV +21.1%

Draw 26.2%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -5.8%

Stalowa Wola (A) 31.3%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -34.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Hutnik Krakow face Stalowa Wola in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Hutnik Krakow a 43% chance, the draw 26% and Stalowa Wola 31%, so Hutnik Krakow are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Hutnik Krakow and 1.2 for Stalowa Wola (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Hutnik Krakow are averaging 1.81 points per game versus 1.06 for Stalowa Wola. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +21.1%. This match finished 0-1.

Hutnik Krakow vs Stalowa Wola Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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