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O. Grudziadz vs Hutnik Krakow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 33 ·Sunday, May 24, 2026, 17:30

O. Grudziadz

PPG 2.19 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Hutnik Krakow

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.9%0-15.6%0-23.2%0-31.2%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.2%1-110.5%1-26.0%1-32.3%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.8%2-25.6%2-32.1%2-4+0.8%3 3-05.4%3-16.1%3-23.5%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-03.8%4+-14.4%4+-22.5%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% 64.5% 1.55 -19.9%

Draw 24.0% 26.3% 3.80 -5.3%

Away win 24.3% 21.7% 4.60 +7.1%

Over 2.5 59.1% 63.7% 1.57 -7.2%

Over 3.5 35.5% 42.0% 2.38 -15.5%

BTTS 59.7% 62.5% 1.60 -4.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 53%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 1.9-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.5%

#2 2–1 9.8%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 1–0 9.2%

#5 0–0 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

O. Grudziadz1.9

Hutnik Krakow1.1

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.1% · O3.5 PROB 35.5%

Form & verdict PPG

O. GRUDZIADZ · PPG 2.19

HUTNIK KRAKOW · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.19) vs P(Home)=51.7%

Win probability 1X2

O. Grudziadz (H) 51.7%

ODDS 1.55 · IMPLIED 64.5% EV -19.9%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -5.3%

Hutnik Krakow (A) 24.3%

ODDS 4.60 · IMPLIED 21.7% EV +7.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

O. Grudziadz face Hutnik Krakow in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, May 24, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives O. Grudziadz a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Hutnik Krakow 24%, so O. Grudziadz are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for O. Grudziadz and 1.1 for Hutnik Krakow (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, O. Grudziadz are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 1.00 for Hutnik Krakow. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +7.1%. This match finished 2-2.

O. Grudziadz vs Hutnik Krakow Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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