Today / Poland - II Liga - East / Sandecja Nowy vs Z. Sosnowiec

Sandecja Nowy vs Z. Sosnowiec Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 34 ·Saturday, May 30, 2026, 12:30

Sandecja Nowy

PPG 1.38 · HOME

1 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Z. Sosnowiec

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.1% vs bookmaker-implied 64.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.8%0-15.6%0-22.7%0-30.9%0-4+0.3%1 1-010.9%1-110.6%1-25.1%1-31.7%1-4+0.5%2 2-010.2%2-19.9%2-24.8%2-31.6%2-4+0.5%3 3-06.4%3-16.2%3-23.0%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-04.6%4+-14.5%4+-22.2%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 53.7% 67.6% 1.48 -20.5%

Draw 22.7% 25.3% 3.95 -6.2%

Away win 23.6% 18.5% 5.40 +16.5%

Over 2.5 60.1% 64.5% 1.55 -6.9%

Over 3.5 36.2% 38.2% 2.62 -5.2%

BTTS 55.3% 57.8% 1.73 -4.3%

Home O1.5 56.0% 63.7% 1.57 -12.1%

Away O1.5 25.3% 26.7% 3.75 -3.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 48%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-0

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob55.3%

H 54% / xG 1.9-1.0 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.6%

#2 2–0 10.2%

#3 2–1 9.9%

#4 1–0✓ 10.9%

#5 0–0 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sandecja Nowy1.9

Z. Sosnowiec1.0

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.1% · O3.5 PROB 36.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SANDECJA NOWY · PPG 1.38

Z. SOSNOWIEC · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Sandecja Nowy (H) 53.7%

ODDS 1.48 · IMPLIED 67.6% EV -20.5%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.95 · IMPLIED 25.3% EV -6.2%

Z. Sosnowiec (A) 23.6%

ODDS 5.40 · IMPLIED 18.5% EV +16.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Sandecja Nowy face Z. Sosnowiec in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, May 30, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sandecja Nowy a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Z. Sosnowiec 24%, so Sandecja Nowy are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Sandecja Nowy and 1.0 for Z. Sosnowiec (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sandecja Nowy are averaging 1.38 points per game versus 1.00 for Z. Sosnowiec. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +16.5%. This match finished 1-0.

Sandecja Nowy vs Z. Sosnowiec Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

More Poland - II Liga - East Predictions