Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 60.1% Odds: 1.55 -6.9%
Over 3.5 36.2% Odds: 2.62 -5.2%
BTTS 55.3% Odds: 1.73 -4.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-0 ✘
3rd 2-1 ✘
4th 1-0 ✔
5th 0-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -6.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -6.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+16.5%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.38) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)