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VV Scherpenzeel vs HSC 21 Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Group A - 34 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:30

VV Scherpenzeel

PPG 1.88 · HOME

4 – 4

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · HOME

HSC 21

PPG 0.06 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in GOOD form (1.88), Away POOR (0.06) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.1%0-11.0%0-20.5%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-04.1%1-13.7%1-21.6%1-30.5%1-4+0.1%2 2-07.3%2-16.6%2-22.9%2-30.9%2-4+0.2%3 3-08.7%3-17.8%3-23.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-019.6%4+-117.5%4+-27.8%4+-32.3%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.0% — — —

Draw 20.4% — — —

Away win 8.6% — — —

Over 2.5 69.8% — — —

Over 3.5 65.2% — — —

BTTS 54.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-4

xG (home)3.6 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob54.7%

H 71% / xG 3.6-0.9 / O2.5 70% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 8.7%

#2 3–1 7.8%

#3 4–0 7.8%

#4 2–0 7.3%

#5 4–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

VV Scherpenzeel3.6

HSC 210.9

COMBINED 4.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.8% · O3.5 PROB 65.2%

Form & verdict PPG

VV SCHERPENZEEL · PPG 1.88

HSC 21 · PPG 0.06

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in GOOD form (1.88), Away POOR (0.06) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

VV Scherpenzeel (H) 71.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HSC 21 (A) 8.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

VV Scherpenzeel face HSC 21 in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives VV Scherpenzeel a 71% chance, the draw 20% and HSC 21 9%, so VV Scherpenzeel are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.6 for VV Scherpenzeel and 0.9 for HSC 21 (4.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 70% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, VV Scherpenzeel are averaging 1.88 points per game versus 0.06 for HSC 21. This match finished 4-4.

VV Scherpenzeel vs HSC 21 Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Match Preview & Prediction

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