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Eemdijk vs DVS 33 Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Group A - 33 ·Saturday, May 16, 2026, 13:30

Eemdijk

PPG 1.44 · HOME

2 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

DVS 33

PPG 1.44 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-15.3%0-24.6%0-32.6%0-4+1.7%1 1-05.5%1-19.4%1-28.0%1-34.6%1-4+2.9%2 2-04.8%2-18.2%2-27.0%2-34.0%2-4+2.5%3 3-02.8%3-14.8%3-24.1%3-32.4%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.1%4+-22.7%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.3% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 36.6% — — —

Over 2.5 63.9% — — —

Over 3.5 45.7% — — —

BTTS 62.5% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 51%

Score Hit 43%

ROI -53.7%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-3

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob62.5%

H 39% / xG 1.8-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 8.2%

#3 1–2 8.0%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 3–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eemdijk1.8

DVS 331.7

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.7%

Form & verdict PPG

EEMDIJK · PPG 1.44

DVS 33 · PPG 1.44

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.44), Away AVERAGE (1.44)

Win probability 1X2

Eemdijk (H) 39.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

DVS 33 (A) 36.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Eemdijk face DVS 33 in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday on Saturday, May 16, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eemdijk a 39% chance, the draw 24% and DVS 33 37%, so Eemdijk are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Eemdijk and 1.7 for DVS 33 (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eemdijk are averaging 1.44 points per game versus 1.44 for DVS 33. This match finished 2-3.

Eemdijk vs DVS 33 Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Match Preview & Prediction

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