Today / Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday / DVS 33 vs Huizen

DVS 33 vs Huizen Prediction— Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday

Group A - 34 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 13:30

DVS 33 logo
DVS 33
PPG 2.06 · HOME
1 – 0
FULL TIME
✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5
Huizen logo
Huizen
PPG 0.88 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.1%0-13.6%0-22.1%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-07.1%1-18.3%1-24.9%1-31.9%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.3%2-19.6%2-25.6%2-32.2%2-4+0.8%3 3-06.4%3-17.4%3-24.3%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-06.3%4+-17.4%4+-24.3%4+-31.7%4+-4+0.6%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 54.0%
Draw 23.6%
Away win 22.4%
Over 2.5 63.9%
Over 3.5 45.8%
BTTS 59.7%
Home O1.5
Away O1.5

League track record

Based on 35 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%
O2.5 63%
BTTS 51%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -53.7%
Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 55%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 1-0
xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob59.7%

H 54% / xG 2.3-1.2 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 9.6%
#2 1–1 8.3%
#3 2–0 8.3%
#4 3–1 7.4%
#5 3–0 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

DVS 332.3
Huizen1.2

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 45.8%

Form & verdict PPG

DVS 33 · PPG 2.06

HUIZEN · PPG 0.88

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.06) vs P(Home)=54.0%

Win probability 1X2

DVS 33 (H) 54.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 23.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Huizen (A) 22.4%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

DVS 33 face Huizen in Netherlands - Derde Divisie - Saturday on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives DVS 33 a 54% chance, the draw 24% and Huizen 22%, so DVS 33 are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for DVS 33 and 1.2 for Huizen (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, DVS 33 are averaging 2.06 points per game versus 0.88 for Huizen. This match finished 1-0.

PredictVantage

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