Ragsved vs Nykoping Prediction & Tips

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Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Södra Svealand - 9 Saturday, May 23, 2026 14:30

Ragsved PPG 2.40

1-2 MISS

Nykoping PPG 1.33

Draw· +1.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 45.0%

Odds: 1.95 EV: -12.3%

Draw 28.2%

Odds: 3.65 EV: +1.8%

Away 26.9%

Odds: 3.20 EV: -8.3%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 47.6% Odds: 1.50 -28.6%

Over 3.5 24.2% Odds: 2.25 -27.3%

BTTS 52.1% Odds: 1.42 -26.0%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 0-0 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Ragsved

1.35

Nykoping

1.14

Model SuggestionBTTS -26.0% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans BTTS, but EV is -26.0% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+1.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=45.0%