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Rappe vs Torns Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland - 9 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 14:00

Rappe

PPG 1.00 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Torns

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 63.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-13.5%0-22.8%0-31.5%0-4+0.9%1 1-04.9%1-17.8%1-26.3%1-33.3%1-4+1.9%2 2-05.4%2-18.7%2-26.9%2-33.7%2-4+2.1%3 3-04.0%3-16.4%3-25.1%3-32.7%3-4+1.5%4+ 4+-03.7%4+-15.9%4+-24.7%4+-32.5%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.4% 47.6% 2.10 +7.9%

Draw 23.5% 28.6% 3.50 -10.7%

Away win 25.1% 33.9% 2.95 -15.6%

Over 2.5 63.9% 66.7% 1.50 -4.2%

Over 3.5 52.9% 44.4% 2.25 +19.0%

BTTS 63.0% 70.4% 1.42 -10.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -27.8%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 62%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)2.2 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob63.0%

H 51% / xG 2.2-1.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.8%

#2 2–1 8.7%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 3–1 6.4%

#5 1–2✓ 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rappe2.2

Torns1.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 63.9% · O3.5 PROB 52.9%

Form & verdict PPG

RAPPE · PPG 1.00

TORNS · PPG 0.75

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.00), Away POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Rappe (H) 51.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +7.9%

Draw 23.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -10.7%

Torns (A) 25.1%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV -15.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rappe face Torns in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rappe a 51% chance, the draw 24% and Torns 25%, so Rappe are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.2 for Rappe and 1.6 for Torns (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rappe are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Torns. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +19.0%. This match finished 1-2.

Rappe vs Torns Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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