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Lindo FF vs Forward Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Södra Svealand - 9 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 14:00

Lindo FF

PPG 0.75 · HOME

2 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Forward

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.7 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.9%0-111.6%0-29.7%0-35.5%0-4+3.3%1 1-06.9%1-111.5%1-29.7%1-35.4%1-4+3.3%2 2-03.4%2-15.7%2-24.8%2-32.7%2-4+1.6%3 3-01.1%3-11.9%3-21.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 24.9% 44.4% 2.25 -26.4%

Draw 27.5% 28.6% 3.50 -2.3%

Away win 47.6% 37.0% 2.70 +28.5%

Over 2.5 52.6% 65.4% 1.53 -19.5%

Over 3.5 27.9% 42.6% 2.35 -20.7%

BTTS 52.5% 69.4% 1.44 -24.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 28 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 61%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -7.4%

Bet Hit 64%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 30%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-4

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob52.5%

A 48% / xG 1.0-1.7 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.5%

#2 0–1 11.6%

#3 0–2 9.7%

#4 1–2 9.7%

#5 0–0 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lindo FF1.0

Forward1.7

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.6% · O3.5 PROB 27.9%

Form & verdict PPG

LINDO FF · PPG 0.75

FORWARD · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.75)

Win probability 1X2

Lindo FF (H) 24.9%

ODDS 2.25 · IMPLIED 44.4% EV -26.4%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -2.3%

Forward (A) 47.6%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +28.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

Lindo FF face Forward in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lindo FF a 25% chance, the draw 28% and Forward 48%, so Forward are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Lindo FF and 1.7 for Forward (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lindo FF are averaging 0.75 points per game versus 1.75 for Forward. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +28.5%. This match finished 2-4.

Lindo FF vs Forward Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand

Match Preview & Prediction

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