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Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland Norra Götaland - 9 Saturday, May 23, 2026 14:00
Stenungsund logo Stenungsund PPG 2.00
6-0 MISS
Lidkoping logo Lidkoping PPG 1.00
Home· +13.3% 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.5%
Odds: 2.20 EV: +13.3%
Draw 24.2%
Odds: 3.60 EV: -7.7%
Away 24.3%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -19.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.1% Odds: 1.48 -12.5%
Over 3.5 33.5% Odds: 2.20 -26.3%
BTTS 54.6% Odds: 1.40 -23.6%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 1-0
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Stenungsund
1.82
Lidkoping
1.10

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -12.5% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
95%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=51.5%

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