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Jerv vs Kvik Halden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 14:00

Jerv

PPG 2.33 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

Kvik Halden

PPG 2.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-013.5%0-110.5%0-24.1%0-31.1%0-4+0.2%1 1-016.5%1-112.8%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-010.2%2-17.9%2-23.1%2-30.8%2-4+0.2%3 3-04.2%3-13.2%3-21.3%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.4% 75.2% 1.33 -37.0%

Draw 28.5% 20.8% 4.80 +22.1%

Away win 24.1% 14.3% 7.00 +41.2%

Over 2.5 41.1% 69.0% 1.45 -40.4%

Over 3.5 14.4% 46.5% 2.15 -41.4%

BTTS 48.6% 59.9% 1.67 -18.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 36%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob48.6%

H 47% / xG 1.2-0.8 / U2.5 41% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 13.5%

#2 1–1 12.8%

#3 1–0 16.5%

#4 2–0 10.2%

#5 0–1 10.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jerv1.2

Kvik Halden0.8

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 41.1% · O3.5 PROB 14.4%

Form & verdict PPG

JERV · PPG 2.33

KVIK HALDEN · PPG 2.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.33), Away EXCELLENT (2.33)

Win probability 1X2

Jerv (H) 47.4%

ODDS 1.33 · IMPLIED 75.2% EV -37.0%

Draw 28.5%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +22.1%

Kvik Halden (A) 24.1%

ODDS 7.00 · IMPLIED 14.3% EV +41.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Jerv face Kvik Halden in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jerv a 47% chance, the draw 28% and Kvik Halden 24%, so Jerv are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Jerv and 0.8 for Kvik Halden (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 41% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jerv are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 2.33 for Kvik Halden. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +41.2%. This match finished 2-1.

Jerv vs Kvik Halden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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