Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away
✘
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 59.9% Odds: 1.36 -18.5%
Over 3.5 37.0% Odds: 1.87 -30.8%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.31 -21.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 1-2 ✘
4th 2-2 ✘
5th 0-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -18.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -18.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+5.8%) — probability too low to qualify.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 13 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 31%
Score Hit 39%
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=39.2%