Today / Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 / Oppsal vs Orn Horten

Oppsal vs Orn Horten Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 12:00

Oppsal

PPG 1.50 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Orn Horten

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.1 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 59.9% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.6%0-16.9%0-25.1%0-32.5%0-4+1.3%1 1-07.3%1-110.9%1-28.1%1-34.0%1-4+2.1%2 2-05.8%2-18.6%2-26.4%2-33.2%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.1%3-14.6%3-23.4%3-31.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-01.7%4+-12.6%4+-21.9%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.2% 37.0% 2.70 +5.8%

Draw 25.0% 25.0% 4.00 0.0%

Away win 35.7% 50.0% 2.00 -28.6%

Over 2.5 59.9% 73.5% 1.36 -18.5%

Over 3.5 37.0% 53.5% 1.87 -30.8%

BTTS 59.7% 76.3% 1.31 -21.8%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 14 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 64%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 36%

Score Hit 36%

ROI -56.8%

Bet Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

H 39% / xG 1.6-1.5 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 0–0 4.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Oppsal1.6

Orn Horten1.5

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.9% · O3.5 PROB 37.0%

Form & verdict PPG

OPPSAL · PPG 1.50

ORN HORTEN · PPG 0.67

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=39.2%

Win probability 1X2

Oppsal (H) 39.2%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +5.8%

Draw 25.0%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV 0.0%

Orn Horten (A) 35.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV -28.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Oppsal face Orn Horten in Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oppsal a 39% chance, the draw 25% and Orn Horten 36%, so Oppsal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Oppsal and 1.5 for Orn Horten (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oppsal are averaging 1.50 points per game versus 0.67 for Orn Horten. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.8%. This match finished 0-2.

Oppsal vs Orn Horten Prediction— Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6

Match Preview & Prediction

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