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Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 logo Norway flag Norway - 3. Division - Girone 6 Regular Season - 8 Saturday, May 23, 2026 12:00
Oppsal logo Oppsal PPG 1.50
0-2 MISS
Orn Horten logo Orn Horten PPG 0.67
Home· +5.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 39.2%
Odds: 2.70 EV: +5.8%
Draw 25.0%
Odds: 4.00 EV: 0.0%
Away 35.7%
Odds: 2.00 EV: -28.6%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 59.9% Odds: 1.36 -18.5%
Over 3.5 37.0% Odds: 1.87 -30.8%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.31 -21.8%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-2
4th 2-2
5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Oppsal
1.58
Orn Horten
1.49

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -18.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -18.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Home (+5.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 13 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 62%
O2.5/Under 62%
BTTS/No 31%
Score Hit 39%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned
66%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.50) vs P(Home)=39.2%

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