Today / Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 / Eik Tonsberg vs Vidar

Eik Tonsberg vs Vidar Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 8 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 15:00

Eik Tonsberg

PPG 0.00 · HOME

3 – 1

FULL TIME

Vidar

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-011.2%0-110.3%0-24.7%0-31.4%0-4+0.4%1 1-014.2%1-113.1%1-26.0%1-31.8%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.0%2-18.3%2-23.8%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.8%3-13.5%3-21.6%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-11.5%4+-20.7%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.9% 47.6% 2.10 -3.6%

Draw 29.0% 27.8% 3.60 +2.6%

Away win 25.1% 34.7% 2.88 -16.6%

Over 2.5 46.2% 64.5% 1.55 -28.4%

Over 3.5 17.9% 42.0% 2.38 -34.4%

BTTS 49.2% 69.0% 1.45 -28.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 34 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 41%

O2.5 32%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -22.9%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-1

xG (home)1.3 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob49.2%

H 46% / xG 1.3-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 11.2%

#3 1–0 14.2%

#4 2–0 9.0%

#5 2–1 8.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eik Tonsberg1.3

Vidar0.9

COMBINED 2.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 17.9%

Form & verdict PPG

EIK TONSBERG · PPG 0.00

VIDAR · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Eik Tonsberg (H) 45.9%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -3.6%

Draw 29.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV +2.6%

Vidar (A) 25.1%

ODDS 2.88 · IMPLIED 34.7% EV -16.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eik Tonsberg face Vidar in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eik Tonsberg a 46% chance, the draw 29% and Vidar 25%, so Eik Tonsberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for Eik Tonsberg and 0.9 for Vidar (2.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eik Tonsberg are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.33 for Vidar. The best value bet our model finds is a draw, with an expected value of +2.6%. This match finished 3-1.

Eik Tonsberg vs Vidar Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 Predictions