IF Karlstad B vs Ahlafors Prediction & Tips

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Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland Norra Götaland - 9 Saturday, May 23, 2026 11:00

IF Karlstad B PPG 0.67

1-4 MISS

Ahlafors PPG 1.00

Home· +11.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 34.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: +11.8%

Draw 24.0%

Odds: 3.75 EV: -6.0%

Away 41.6%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -21.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.48 -9.1%

Over 3.5 40.6% Odds: 2.20 -10.7%

BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.42 -15.2%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 1-2 ✘

3rd 2-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 0-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

IF Karlstad B

1.45

Ahlafors

1.79

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -9.1% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -9.1% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Home (+11.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: POOR (0.67) vs Away AVERAGE (1.00)