Today / Australia - Victoria NPL 2 / Bulleen vs Manningham Utd

Bulleen vs Manningham Utd Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Regular Season - 14 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 08:30

Bulleen

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Manningham Utd

PPG 0.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 59.7% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.7%0-15.2%0-22.9%0-31.1%0-4+0.4%1 1-09.1%1-110.2%1-25.7%1-32.1%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.8%2-19.9%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.7%3-16.4%3-23.6%3-31.3%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-04.4%4+-14.9%4+-22.7%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.7% 50.0% 2.00 +3.4%

Draw 24.0% 30.8% 3.25 -13.2%

Away win 24.3% 32.3% 3.10 -14.8%

Over 2.5 59.3% 61.7% 1.62 -3.9%

Over 3.5 36.7% 41.5% 2.41 -11.6%

BTTS 59.7% 65.4% 1.53 -8.7%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -15.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 52%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.7%

H 52% / xG 1.9-1.1 / O2.5 59% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.2%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 8.8%

#4 1–0 9.1%

#5 3–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Bulleen1.9

Manningham Utd1.1

COMBINED 3.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.3% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BULLEEN · PPG 1.67

MANNINGHAM UTD · PPG 0.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.67) vs P(Home)=51.7%

Win probability 1X2

Bulleen (H) 51.7%

ODDS 2.00 · IMPLIED 50.0% EV +3.4%

Draw 24.0%

ODDS 3.25 · IMPLIED 30.8% EV -13.2%

Manningham Utd (A) 24.3%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -14.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Bulleen face Manningham Utd in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Bulleen a 52% chance, the draw 24% and Manningham Utd 24%, so Bulleen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Bulleen and 1.1 for Manningham Utd (3.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Bulleen are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 0.80 for Manningham Utd. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +3.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Bulleen vs Manningham Utd Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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