← Back to picks 
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Saturday, May 23, 2026 08:15 
M. Srbija PPG 2.00 
Western Utd B PPG 0.50
Australia - Victoria NPL 2 Saturday, May 23, 2026 08:15 M. Srbija PPG 2.003-0 MISS
Western Utd B PPG 0.50Home· +5.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.9% Odds: 1.40 -10.5%
Over 3.5 50.1% Odds: 1.88 -5.8%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.33 -16.9%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✘
3rd 2-2 ✘
4th 1-2 ✘
5th 3-1 ✘
Expected Goals (xG)
M. Srbija 2.13
Western Utd B 1.54
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -10.5% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-10.5%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.
League Track Record ↗
Based on 49 resolved predictions
1X2 Acc 59%
O2.5/Under 65%
BTTS/No 61%
Score Hit 43%
ROI -40.0%
Bet Hit 43% (7 bets)
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME 55%
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=51.2%