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Quinns vs Mandurah City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Regular Season - 9 ·Saturday, May 23, 2026, 07:00

Quinns

PPG 0.00 · HOME

0 – 4

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Mandurah City

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-15.1%0-23.8%0-31.9%0-4+1.0%1 1-06.5%1-19.6%1-27.2%1-33.6%1-4+1.9%2 2-06.1%2-19.0%2-26.7%2-33.4%2-4+1.7%3 3-03.8%3-15.7%3-24.2%3-32.1%3-4+1.1%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.1%4+-23.0%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.1% — — —

Draw 24.6% — — —

Away win 26.3% — — —

Over 2.5 62.4% — — —

Over 3.5 43.5% — — —

BTTS 59.7% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 2.1%

Bet Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 47%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-4

xG (home)1.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob59.7%

H 49% / xG 1.9-1.5 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 9.0%

#3 1–2 7.2%

#4 2–2 6.7%

#5 2–0 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Quinns1.9

Mandurah City1.5

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 62.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.5%

Form & verdict PPG

QUINNS · PPG 0.00

MANDURAH CITY · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

40%

NEUTRAL

No PPG data

Win probability 1X2

Quinns (H) 49.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Mandurah City (A) 26.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Quinns face Mandurah City in Australia - Western Australia State League 1 on Saturday, May 23, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Quinns a 49% chance, the draw 25% and Mandurah City 26%, so Quinns are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Quinns and 1.5 for Mandurah City (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Quinns are averaging 0.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Mandurah City. This match finished 0-4.

Quinns vs Mandurah City Prediction— Australia - Western Australia State League 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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