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Australia - South Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 11 Ramsay Park Saturday, May 23, 2026 05:30
Playford P. logo Playford P. PPG 2.60
1-4 MISS
West Adelaide logo West Adelaide PPG 0.80
Over3.5· +20.4% ✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 64.9%
Odds: 1.50 EV: -2.6%
Draw 20.8%
Odds: 4.33 EV: -6.0%
Away 14.4%
Odds: 4.40 EV: -22.0%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 79.0% Odds: 1.33 +5.1%
Over 3.5 73.0% Odds: 1.65 +20.4%
BTTS 62.5% Odds: 1.36 -15.0%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 3-1
2nd 4-1
3rd 2-1
4th 3-0
5th 4-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Playford P.
3.70
West Adelaide
1.27

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 +5.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5.
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+20.4%)

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -30.0%
Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Strong home form
80%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.60) vs P(Home)=64.9%

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