Campbelltown vs Sturt Lions Prediction & Tips

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Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 11 Steve Woodcock Sports Centre· Adelaide Saturday, May 23, 2026 05:30

Campbelltown PPG 1.00

2-0 MISS

Sturt Lions PPG 1.50

Away· +28.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 35.9%

Odds: 1.85 EV: -33.6%

Draw 22.6%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -7.1%

Away 41.5%

Odds: 3.10 EV: +28.6%

Model lean: BTTS Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 64.7% Odds: 1.33 -14.0%

Over 3.5 60.7% Odds: 1.73 +5.0%

BTTS 66.7% Odds: 1.33 -11.3%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-2 ✘

3rd 1-2 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 2-3 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Campbelltown

2.01

Sturt Lions

2.20

Model SuggestionBTTS -11.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-11.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)