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Australia - South Australia NPL logo Australia flag Australia - South Australia NPL Regular Season - 11 Ellis Park Saturday, May 23, 2026 05:30
Adelaide Comets logo Adelaide Comets PPG 0.60
4-0 MISS
Para Hills logo Para Hills PPG 0.00
Away· +4.2% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.1%
Odds: 1.45 EV: -18.6%
Draw 22.5%
Odds: 4.33 EV: -1.5%
Away 21.4%
Odds: 5.00 EV: +4.2%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.7% Odds: 1.40 -13.6%
Over 3.5 43.2% Odds: 1.90 -17.9%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.50 -10.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1
2nd 1-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Adelaide Comets
2.33
Para Hills
1.02

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -13.6% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -13.6% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+4.2%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%
O2.5/Under 70%
BTTS/No 63%
Score Hit 23%
ROI -30.0%
Bet Hit 50% (8 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value
40%
NEUTRAL

No PPG data

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