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Australia - Victoria NPL 2
Regular Season - 14
Saturday, May 23, 2026
05:00
Port Melbourne
PPG 1.00
0-2
HIT MostLikelyScore
Brunswick Juven
PPG 1.71
Draw· +0.7%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
13.7%
Odds: 6.00
EV: -10.7%
Draw
22.0%
Odds: 4.60
EV: +0.7%
Away
64.3%
Odds: 1.35
EV: -13.2%
Model lean:
Away
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Away ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
59.1%
Odds: 1.44
-14.9%
Over 3.5
34.7%
Odds: 2.02
-29.9%
BTTS
51.6%
Odds: 1.60
-17.4%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
0-2
✔
2nd
1-1
✘
3rd
0-1
✘
4th
1-2
✘
5th
0-3
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Port Melbourne
0.80
Brunswick Juven
2.17
Model Suggestion
Away
-13.2%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Away, but EV is -13.2% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV:
Draw (+0.7%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value
63%
UPSET_VALUE
Away momentum: GOOD form (1.71) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)