R. Bijeljina PPG 1.57
FK Sarajevo PPG 0.86R. Bijeljina face FK Sarajevo in Bosnia - Premijer Liga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives R. Bijeljina a 48% chance, the draw 28% and FK Sarajevo 24%, so R. Bijeljina are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for R. Bijeljina and 0.9 for FK Sarajevo (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 44% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, R. Bijeljina are averaging 1.57 points per game versus 0.86 for FK Sarajevo. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +88.0%. This match finished 1-2.
Based on 28 resolved predictions
Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.57) > Away POOR (0.86)