Farsta vs Haninge Prediction & Tips

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Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Svealand Södra Svealand - 9 Friday, May 22, 2026 18:00

Farsta PPG 3.00

5-0 MISS

Haninge PPG 1.50

Home· +35.0% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 55.1%

Odds: 2.45 EV: +35.0%

Draw 22.7%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -8.2%

Away 22.3%

Odds: 2.33 EV: -28.8%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 69.8% Odds: 1.30 -9.3%

Over 3.5 62.1% Odds: 1.77 +9.9%

BTTS 63.0% Odds: 1.28 -19.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 3-1 ✘

3rd 1-1 ✘

4th 2-2 ✘

5th 3-2 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Farsta

2.79

Haninge

1.50

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 -9.3% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-9.3%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

66%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=55.1%