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PSV Eindhoven W vs ADO Den Haag W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 21 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 18:00

PSV Eindhoven W

PPG 2.30 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME

ADO Den Haag W

PPG 1.10 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.30), Away AVERAGE (1.10) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-11.2%0-20.4%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-06.4%1-14.1%1-21.3%1-30.3%1-4+0.0%2 2-010.6%2-16.7%2-22.1%2-30.5%2-4+0.1%3 3-011.7%3-17.4%3-22.4%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-022.3%4+-114.2%4+-24.5%4+-31.0%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 71.1% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 8.2% — — —

Over 2.5 61.7% — — —

Over 3.5 55.5% — — —

BTTS 51.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)3.3 xG (away)0.6 BTTS prob51.0%

H 71% / xG 3.3-0.6 / O2.5 62% / BTTS 51%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–0 11.7%

#2 2–0✓ 10.6%

#3 4–0 9.7%

#4 3–1 7.4%

#5 2–1 6.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PSV Eindhoven W3.3

ADO Den Haag W0.6

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 61.7% · O3.5 PROB 55.5%

Form & verdict PPG

PSV EINDHOVEN W · PPG 2.30

ADO DEN HAAG W · PPG 1.10

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.30), Away AVERAGE (1.10) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

PSV Eindhoven W (H) 71.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

ADO Den Haag W (A) 8.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

PSV Eindhoven W face ADO Den Haag W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PSV Eindhoven W a 71% chance, the draw 21% and ADO Den Haag W 8%, so PSV Eindhoven W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.3 for PSV Eindhoven W and 0.6 for ADO Den Haag W (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-0. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PSV Eindhoven W are averaging 2.30 points per game versus 1.10 for ADO Den Haag W. This match finished 2-0.

PSV Eindhoven W vs ADO Den Haag W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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