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NAC Breda W vs FC Twente W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 21 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 18:00

NAC Breda W

PPG 0.60 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

FC Twente W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.9%0-13.5%0-27.1%0-39.5%0-4+28.2%1 1-00.6%1-12.5%1-25.0%1-36.8%1-4+20.0%2 2-00.2%2-10.9%2-21.8%2-32.4%2-4+7.1%3 3-00.1%3-10.2%3-20.4%3-30.6%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.0%4+-10.0%4+-20.1%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 9.4% — — —

Draw 20.7% — — —

Away win 69.9% — — —

Over 2.5 74.5% — — —

Over 3.5 69.7% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 4 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)4.0 BTTS prob52.3%

A 70% / xG 0.7-4.0 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–4 9.6%

#2 0–3✓ 9.5%

#3 0–5 7.7%

#4 0–2 7.1%

#5 1–4 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NAC Breda W0.7

FC Twente W4.0

COMBINED 4.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 74.5% · O3.5 PROB 69.7%

Form & verdict PPG

NAC BREDA W · PPG 0.60

FC TWENTE W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

NAC Breda W (H) 9.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 20.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

FC Twente W (A) 69.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

NAC Breda W face FC Twente W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NAC Breda W a 9% chance, the draw 21% and FC Twente W 70%, so FC Twente W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for NAC Breda W and 4.0 for FC Twente W (4.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-4. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NAC Breda W are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 2.00 for FC Twente W. This match finished 0-3.

NAC Breda W vs FC Twente W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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