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PEC Zwolle W vs HERA Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 21 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 18:00

PEC Zwolle W

PPG 1.60 · HOME

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

HERA

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-04.2%0-14.4%0-22.3%0-30.8%0-4+0.3%1 1-08.9%1-19.4%1-24.9%1-31.7%1-4+0.6%2 2-09.4%2-19.9%2-25.2%2-31.8%2-4+0.6%3 3-06.6%3-17.0%3-23.7%3-31.3%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-05.7%4+-16.0%4+-23.2%4+-31.1%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 51.0% — — —

Draw 26.4% — — —

Away win 22.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.2% — — —

Over 3.5 39.0% — — —

BTTS 57.1% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob57.1%

H 51% / xG 2.1-1.1 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.4%

#2 2–1 9.9%

#3 2–0 9.4%

#4 1–0 8.9%

#5 3–1 7.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PEC Zwolle W2.1

HERA1.1

COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.2% · O3.5 PROB 39.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PEC ZWOLLE W · PPG 1.60

HERA · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away AVERAGE (1.40)

Win probability 1X2

PEC Zwolle W (H) 51.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

HERA (A) 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

PEC Zwolle W face HERA in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PEC Zwolle W a 51% chance, the draw 26% and HERA 23%, so PEC Zwolle W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for PEC Zwolle W and 1.1 for HERA (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PEC Zwolle W are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.40 for HERA. This match finished 3-2.

PEC Zwolle W vs HERA Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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