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Excelsior W vs Feyenoord W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Regular Season - 21 ·Friday, May 8, 2026, 18:00

Excelsior W

PPG 0.40 · HOME

0 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY

Feyenoord W

PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.40)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.5%0-19.1%0-211.9%0-310.3%0-4+12.7%1 1-02.6%1-16.8%1-28.9%1-37.7%1-4+9.4%2 2-01.0%2-12.5%2-23.3%2-32.9%2-4+3.5%3 3-00.2%3-10.6%3-20.8%3-30.7%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.1%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 12.8% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 65.6% — — —

Over 2.5 60.5% — — —

Over 3.5 43.3% — — —

BTTS 52.3% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 25 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 76%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 56%

Score Hit 56%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 50%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-3

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob52.3%

A 66% / xG 0.7-2.6 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.9%

#2 0–3✓ 10.3%

#3 1–2 8.9%

#4 0–1 9.1%

#5 1–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Excelsior W0.7

Feyenoord W2.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.5% · O3.5 PROB 43.3%

Form & verdict PPG

EXCELSIOR W · PPG 0.40

FEYENOORD W · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.80) vs Home POOR (0.40)

Win probability 1X2

Excelsior W (H) 12.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Feyenoord W (A) 65.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Excelsior W face Feyenoord W in Netherlands - Eredivisie Women on Friday, May 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Excelsior W a 13% chance, the draw 22% and Feyenoord W 66%, so Feyenoord W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Excelsior W and 2.6 for Feyenoord W (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Excelsior W are averaging 0.40 points per game versus 1.80 for Feyenoord W. This match finished 0-3.

Excelsior W vs Feyenoord W Prediction— Netherlands - Eredivisie Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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