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Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Norra Götaland Norra Götaland - 9 Friday, May 22, 2026 17:30
IFK Skovde logo IFK Skovde PPG 2.25
2-1 HIT CS2
Kumla logo Kumla PPG 1.75
Away· +23.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.9%
Odds: 1.36 EV: -26.7%
Draw 23.6%
Odds: 4.80 EV: +8.0%
Away 22.4%
Odds: 6.20 EV: +23.3%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 63.2% Odds: 1.38 -12.8%
Over 3.5 43.8% Odds: 1.95 -14.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.55 -7.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 2-0
4th 3-1
5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

IFK Skovde
2.25
Kumla
1.14

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -12.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+23.3%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
52%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.25) > Away GOOD (1.75)

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