Match Result (1X2)
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home
✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5 63.2% Odds: 1.38 -12.8%
Over 3.5 43.8% Odds: 1.95 -14.6%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.55 -7.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔
Correct Score Picks
1st 1-1 ✘
2nd 2-1 ✔
3rd 2-0 ✘
4th 3-1 ✘
5th 3-0 ✘
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5 -12.8% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -12.8% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Highest raw EV: Away (+23.3%) — probability too low to qualify.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage MODERATE_HOME Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.25) > Away GOOD (1.75)