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Duren vs Konigsdorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Mittelrhein - 28 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:30

Duren

PPG 1.62 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Konigsdorf

PPG 1.08 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.4%0-12.8%0-22.6%0-31.7%0-4+1.2%1 1-03.3%1-16.4%1-26.1%1-33.9%1-4+2.9%2 2-03.9%2-17.5%2-27.1%2-34.6%2-4+3.4%3 3-03.0%3-15.8%3-25.5%3-33.5%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-03.0%4+-15.8%4+-25.6%4+-33.6%4+-4+2.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% — — —

Draw 22.2% — — —

Away win 30.7% — — —

Over 2.5 67.1% — — —

Over 3.5 61.3% — — —

BTTS 66.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 54 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 57%

O2.5 76%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 20%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)2.3 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob66.4%

H 47% / xG 2.3-1.9 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 66%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 7.5%

#2 1–1 6.4%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 6.1%

#5 3–1 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Duren2.3

Konigsdorf1.9

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.1% · O3.5 PROB 61.3%

Form & verdict PPG

DUREN · PPG 1.62

KONIGSDORF · PPG 1.08

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.08)

Win probability 1X2

Duren (H) 47.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Konigsdorf (A) 30.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Duren face Konigsdorf in Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Duren a 47% chance, the draw 22% and Konigsdorf 31%, so Duren are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.3 for Duren and 1.9 for Konigsdorf (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 66% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Duren are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.08 for Konigsdorf. This match finished 2-0.

Duren vs Konigsdorf Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Mittelrhein

Match Preview & Prediction

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