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Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland logo Sweden flag Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland Södra Götaland - 9 Friday, May 22, 2026 17:00
Staffanstorp Un logo Staffanstorp Un PPG 1.00
5-0 MISS
Nosaby logo Nosaby PPG 1.75
Away· +16.8% 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 24.6%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -19.4%
Draw 23.5%
Odds: 3.45 EV: -11.4%
Away 51.9%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +16.8%
Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.0% Odds: 1.50 -7.0%
Over 3.5 43.3% Odds: 2.20 -4.7%
BTTS 59.7% Odds: 1.40 -16.4%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → NO ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-2
3rd 0-2
4th 1-3
5th 2-2

Expected Goals (xG)

Staffanstorp Un
1.27
Nosaby
2.09

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -7.0% EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (-7.0%), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record

Based on 15 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 27%
O2.5/Under 73%
BTTS/No 60%
Score Hit 33%
ROI -32.0%
Bet Hit 40% (5 bets)

Verdict & Form

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity
95%
UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

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