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Linero vs IFK Trelleborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Södra Götaland - 9 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 17:00

Linero

PPG 2.00 · HOME

2 – 1

FULL TIME

IFK Trelleborg

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-012.6%0-110.8%0-24.7%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-015.3%1-113.1%1-25.6%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-09.3%2-18.0%2-23.4%2-31.0%2-4+0.3%3 3-03.7%3-13.2%3-21.4%3-30.4%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-01.5%4+-11.3%4+-20.5%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.4% 37.0% 2.70 +22.6%

Draw 29.5% 27.0% 3.70 +5.5%

Away win 25.0% 45.5% 2.20 -27.0%

Over 2.5 46.2% 71.4% 1.40 -35.3%

Over 3.5 15.6% 50.0% 2.00 -41.3%

BTTS 48.6% 75.2% 1.33 -35.4%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 21 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -27.8%

Bet Hit 47%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 29%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-1

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob48.6%

H 45% / xG 1.2-0.9 / U2.5 46% / NoBTTS 49%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 13.1%

#2 0–0 12.6%

#3 1–0 15.3%

#4 2–0 9.3%

#5 0–1 10.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Linero1.2

IFK Trelleborg0.9

COMBINED 2.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 46.2% · O3.5 PROB 15.6%

Form & verdict PPG

LINERO · PPG 2.00

IFK TRELLEBORG · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.33)

Win probability 1X2

Linero (H) 45.4%

ODDS 2.70 · IMPLIED 37.0% EV +22.6%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +5.5%

IFK Trelleborg (A) 25.0%

ODDS 2.20 · IMPLIED 45.5% EV -27.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Linero face IFK Trelleborg in Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Linero a 45% chance, the draw 30% and IFK Trelleborg 25%, so Linero are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Linero and 0.9 for IFK Trelleborg (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 46% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Linero are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.33 for IFK Trelleborg. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +22.6%. This match finished 2-1.

Linero vs IFK Trelleborg Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Södra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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