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Weidenhausen vs KSV Baunatal Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 33 ·Friday, May 22, 2026, 16:30

Weidenhausen

PPG 1.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

KSV Baunatal

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-13.8%0-25.0%0-34.3%0-4+5.2%1 1-02.4%1-16.2%1-28.1%1-37.0%1-4+8.5%2 2-01.9%2-15.0%2-26.5%2-35.6%2-4+6.9%3 3-01.0%3-12.7%3-23.5%3-33.0%3-4+3.7%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.6%4+-22.0%4+-31.8%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.1% — — —

Draw 21.6% — — —

Away win 52.3% — — —

Over 2.5 65.2% — — —

Over 3.5 60.8% — — —

BTTS 63.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob63.0%

A 52% / xG 1.6-2.6 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.1%

#2 1–1 6.2%

#3 1–3 7.0%

#4 2–2 6.5%

#5 2–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Weidenhausen1.6

KSV Baunatal2.6

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.2% · O3.5 PROB 60.8%

Form & verdict PPG

WEIDENHAUSEN · PPG 1.00

KSV BAUNATAL · PPG 1.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)

Win probability 1X2

Weidenhausen (H) 26.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KSV Baunatal (A) 52.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Weidenhausen face KSV Baunatal in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Friday, May 22, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Weidenhausen a 26% chance, the draw 22% and KSV Baunatal 52%, so KSV Baunatal are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Weidenhausen and 2.6 for KSV Baunatal (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Weidenhausen are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for KSV Baunatal. This match finished 0-2.

Weidenhausen vs KSV Baunatal Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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