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Australia - Victoria NPL 2
Regular Season - 14
John Cain Memorial Park· Melbourne
Friday, May 22, 2026
10:30
Northcote City
PPG 2.33
1-0
MISS
Brunswick City
PPG 0.80
Away· -6.7%
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55% confidence
Match Result (1X2)
Home
58.6%
Odds: 1.53
EV: -10.3%
Draw
21.2%
Odds: 4.00
EV: -9.1%
Away
20.2%
Odds: 4.40
EV: -6.7%
Model lean:
Over 2.5
Not tracked as an official bet.
Result: Home ✔
Goals Markets
Over 2.5
62.3%
Odds: 1.44
-10.3%
Over 3.5
43.4%
Odds: 2.06
-10.6%
BTTS
57.8%
Odds: 1.50
-13.3%
O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘
BTTS YES → NO ✘
Correct Score Picks
1st
2-1
✘
2nd
2-0
✘
3rd
1-1
✘
4th
3-1
✘
5th
3-0
✘
Expected Goals (xG)
Northcote City
2.36
Brunswick City
1.00
Model Suggestion
Over 2.5
-10.3%
NO VALUE BET
No value bet:
model leans Over 2.5, but EV is -10.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet.
Verdict & Form
⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME
Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=58.6%