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Australia - Victoria NPL logo Australia flag Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 14 Friday, May 22, 2026 09:45
Dandenong City logo Dandenong City PPG 1.29
2-1 HIT CS2
St. Albans logo St. Albans PPG 1.43
Home· +10.3% ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 49.0%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +10.3%
Draw 26.1%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -5.2%
Away 24.9%
Odds: 2.75 EV: -18.9%
Model lean: Over 2.5
Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 52.6% Odds: 1.70 -10.6%
Over 3.5 28.4% Odds: 2.75 -13.1%
BTTS 52.6% Odds: 1.55 -18.5%
O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 2-1
3rd 1-0
4th 0-0
5th 2-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Dandenong City
1.59
St. Albans
1.10

Model Suggestion

Over 2.5 -10.6% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value
60%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.29), Away AVERAGE (1.43)

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