Green Gully vs Heidelberg Utd Prediction & Tips

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Australia - Victoria NPL Regular Season - 14 Green Gully Reserve· Melbourne Friday, May 22, 2026 09:30

Green Gully PPG 0.17

0-1 HIT CS3

Heidelberg Utd PPG 1.86

Draw· +10.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63% confidence

Match Result (1X2)

Home 10.9%

Odds: 10.00 EV: +5.4%

Draw 21.8%

Odds: 5.40 EV: +10.6%

Away 67.3%

Odds: 1.22 EV: -17.9%

Model lean: Away Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: 1.42 -12.8%

Over 3.5 37.7% Odds: 2.05 -22.7%

BTTS 48.6% Odds: 1.77 -14.0%

O2.5 OVER → UNDER ✘ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 0-2 ✘

2nd 0-3 ✘

3rd 0-1 ✔

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-4 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Green Gully

0.57

Heidelberg Utd

2.54

Model SuggestionAway -17.9% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Away, but EV is -17.9% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Draw (+10.6%) — probability too low to qualify.

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.86) vs Home POOR (0.17)