Oldham vs Salford City Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two Regular Season - 44 Boundary Park· Oldham Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Oldham PPG 1.67

1-2 MISS

Salford City PPG 1.48

Home· +30.8% ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Oldham face Salford City in England - League Two on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Oldham a 52% chance, the draw 28% and Salford City 20%, so Oldham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Oldham and 0.7 for Salford City (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Oldham are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.48 for Salford City. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.8%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.9%

Odds: 2.52 EV: +30.8%

Draw 27.9%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -7.9%

Away 20.2%

Odds: 2.68 EV: -45.9%

Model lean: Home

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 35.4% Odds: 1.95 -31.0%

Over 3.5 16.4% Odds: 3.40 -44.2%

BTTS 39.1% Odds: 1.70 -33.5%

O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS NO → YES ✘

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 0-0 ✘

4th 2-0 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Oldham

1.37

Salford City

0.74

Model SuggestionHome +30.8% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

Verdict & Form

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away AVERAGE (1.48)