Notts County vs Barnet Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two Regular Season - 44 Meadow Lane· Nottingham Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Notts County PPG 2.00

1-2 MISS

Barnet PPG 1.62

Home· +30.4% ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Notts County face Barnet in England - League Two on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Notts County a 56% chance, the draw 23% and Barnet 21%, so Notts County are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Notts County and 1.0 for Barnet (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Notts County are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.62 for Barnet. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +30.4%. This match finished 1-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.2%

Odds: 2.32 EV: +30.4%

Draw 23.0%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -24.1%

Away 20.7%

Odds: 2.98 EV: -38.3%

Model lean: Home

Result: Away ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 53.1% Odds: 2.00 +6.2%

Over 3.5 30.8% Odds: 3.50 +7.8%

BTTS 52.7% Odds: 1.73 -8.8%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 2-1 ✘

5th 0-0 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Notts County

1.80

Barnet

1.00

Model SuggestionHome +30.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away GOOD (1.62)