Crawley Town vs Shrewsbury Prediction— England - League Two

England - League Two Regular Season - 44 The Broadfield Stadium· Crawley Saturday, April 18, 2026 14:00

Crawley Town PPG 1.10

0-0 HIT CS4

Shrewsbury PPG 0.71

Home· -2.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Crawley Town face Shrewsbury in England - League Two on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Crawley Town a 51% chance, the draw 26% and Shrewsbury 22%, so Crawley Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Crawley Town and 0.9 for Shrewsbury (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 42% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 45% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Crawley Town are averaging 1.10 points per game versus 0.71 for Shrewsbury. This match finished 0-0.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.4%

Odds: 1.90 EV: -2.3%

Draw 26.3%

Odds: 3.35 EV: -11.9%

Away 22.3%

Odds: 4.10 EV: -8.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 42.3% Odds: 2.10 -11.2%

Over 3.5 21.5% Odds: 3.80 -18.3%

BTTS 45.4% Odds: 1.85 -16.0%

O2.5 UNDER → UNDER ✔ BTTS NO → NO ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 0-0 ✔

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Crawley Town

1.49

Shrewsbury

0.88

Model SuggestionHome -2.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -2.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 44%

O2.5/Under 51%

BTTS/No 61%

Score Hit 49%

ROI -16.4%

Bet Hit 44% (18 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.10) > Away POOR (0.71)