Cheltenham vs Newport Prediction— England - League Two

Match Preview & Prediction

Cheltenham face Newport in England - League Two on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cheltenham a 59% chance, the draw 22% and Newport 19%, so Cheltenham are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.9 for Cheltenham and 1.0 for Newport (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 54% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cheltenham are averaging 1.40 points per game versus 0.86 for Newport. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +33.1%. This match finished 1-0.